The Centers for Disease Control is an unreliable, politicized agency, in my opinion. But I assume they can aggregate death totals accurately from local sources. For the last year, there clearly have been some excess deaths, from all causes, over demographically predicted norms. . . .
But we also know that the overwhelming majority of people who died from covid, or rather had the word “covid” somewhere on their death certificates, were old and already very sick.
So it is reasonable to think that most “covid deaths” were people who, absent covid, would have died sometime in the next few months or the next year or two. If that is the case, we should see lower than predicted deaths from all causes going forward.
NOW can we take our finger off the panic button?